Here’s another solid SEC situational spot. They should keep this game within single digits at home against the overinflated Sooners. The Jayhawks boast an explosive offense, ranking top-10 nationally in EPA per Play, even with backup Jason Bean under center. The regression train hit Oklahoma last week, as it almost dropped a home game to UCF, which has yet to win a Big 12 game. The Longhorns also committed nine penalties for 70 yards, compared to Oklahoma’s four for 30. They were outgained 527-486 but squeaked by thanks to a 3-0 turnover margin and an improbable goal-line stand. The Sooners are plus-10 in turnover margin and have been lucky in big wins. Meanwhile, Billy Napier is 19-6 ATS as an underdog in his coaching career, including 8-1 ATS as a double-digit ’dog. After consecutive national championships and with few marquee games, it’s hard for these young players to stay motivated.Īs a result, Bulldogs are 1-6 against the spread this season, letting most opponents keep the game relatively close. Georgia is a corpse, sleepwalking through a cookie-cutter schedule. But this handicap mostly comes down to the situational spot.
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